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Category Chaser — May 29–31: Raley for power, Carter for speed, Lambert for wins

Luke Raley (23.0% owned) headlines the weekend as the loudest single-cat power play with a 20.2% Barrel rate and three RHP matchups in Seattle. The most actionable cross-cat grab is Evan Carter (5.0% owned), who clears 0.62 SB + 2.1 R projection vs a soft KC rotation.

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Category Chaser
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May 29, 2026

Category Chaser — May 29–31: Raley for power, Carter for speed, Lambert for wins

Luke Raley (23.0% owned) headlines the weekend as the loudest single-cat power play with a 20.2% Barrel rate and three RHP matchups in Seattle. The most actionable cross-cat grab is Evan Carter (5.0% owned), who clears 0.62 SB + 2.1 R projection vs a soft KC rotation.

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Category Chaser — May 29–31 Weekend Targets

Low-owned weekend bats and arms sorted by category-projection ranking. All stats Statcast-grounded; all under 25% Yahoo owned.

Three-day Fri–Sun slate (May 29–31): hottest sub-25% plays grouped by 5×5 category, direct adds only.

🏆 Loudest Single-Cat Play

Luke Raley — RF · SEA · 23.0% owned · 💥 HR

MetricValue
Weekend proj (HR / RBI / R / SB)HR=0.85 · RBI=2.9 · R=2.4 · SB=0.08
L14 (rolling)42 PA, 2 HR, 7 RBI, .342 AVG
L30 (rolling)79 PA, 5 HR, 13 RBI, .292 AVG
StatcastBarrel% 20.2 · xwOBA .382 · HH% 51.7
L7 playing time3 starts, streak 3, avg order 5.0

Weekend slate:

  • Fri 2026-05-29 vs ARI — vs Zac Gallen (RHP), vs RHB .841 OPS
  • Sat 2026-05-30 vs ARI — vs Ryne Nelson (RHP), vs RHB .804 OPS
  • Sun 2026-05-31 vs ARI — vs Merrill Kelly (RHP), vs RHB 1.087 OPS

Three straight RHP starts vs an ARI staff bleeding OPS to right-handed bats, paired with a 20.2% Barrel rate — Raley's projected 0.85 HR leads the entire under-25% pool.


Hitter Combos — Multi-Category Tables

💥 Power Production · HR + RBI

Ranked by weekend HR + RBI×0.4 · all under 25% owned

#PlayerPos / TeamOwnHR / RBI projL14 (live)Season slashStatcastWeekend matchups
1Luke RaleyRF / SEA23.0%0.85 / 2.942 PA, 2 HR, 7 RBI, .342 (rolling)Barrel 20.2% · xwOBA .382 · HH 51.7%Fri vs Gallen (RHP), Sat vs Nelson (RHP), Sun vs Kelly (RHP)
2TJ Rumfield1B / COL14.0%0.49 / 3.1Barrel 8.1% · xwOBA .348 · HH 36.3%Coors order #3 — Fri vs Webb (RHP), Sat vs Houser (RHP), Sun vs Ray (LHP)
3Curtis Mead1B / WSH7.0%0.66 / 2.8Barrel 11.1% · xwOBA .374 · HH 45.5%Order #2-3 — Fri vs Giolito (RHP), Sat vs King (RHP), Sun vs Canning (RHP)
4Paul Goldschmidt1B / NYY4.0%0.66 / 1.843 PA, 1 HR, 5 RBI, .270/.326/.405.265/.363/.500, 5 HRBarrel 14.5% · xwOBA .407 · HH 48.7%@ OAK — Fri vs Severino (RHP, .975 vs RHB), Sat vs Ginn

Rumfield bats #3 in every game per L7 orders (3,3,3,3) — that's a Coors cleanup-grade RBI funnel even with a .49 HR proj.

🏃 Speed + Runs · R + SB

Ranked by weekend SB×2 + R×0.3 · all under 25% owned

#PlayerPos / TeamOwnR / SB projL14 (live)Season slashStatcastWeekend matchups
1Henry BolteCF / OAK12.0%1.2 / 1.0xwOBA .267 · HH 45.5%Order #6-8 — Fri vs Rodón (LHP), Sat vs Weathers (LHP, .530 vs LHB), Sun vs Warren (RHP)
2Nasim Nuñez2B / WSH10.0%0.6 / 1.12xwOBA .269 · HH 18.6%Bottom-order burner (orders 9,7,8,9,8) — Fri vs Giolito (RHP), Sat vs King, Sun vs Canning
3Sam AntonacciLF / CWS20.0%2.1 / 0.66xwOBA .383 · HH 36.4% · K% 14.4Leadoff (1,1,1,1,8,1) — Fri vs Melton (RHP), Sat vs Valdez (LHP), Sun vs Montero (RHP)
4Evan CarterCF / TEX5.0%2.1 / 0.62Barrel 8.1% · xwOBA .302 · BB% 13.6Order #5-6 vs KC — Fri vs Kolek, Sat vs Lugo (.595 vs LHB), Sun vs Wacha

Bolte projects for a full SB in just 12.7 PA — that's the loudest steal rate in the pool, and the Yankees' battery is exploitable enough to make it stick.

📊 Batting Average

L14 ≥ .270 with 30+ PA · all under 25% owned

#PlayerPos / TeamOwnL14 PA / AVGL30 AVGStatcastWeekend matchups
1Luke RaleyRF / SEA23.0%42 / .342.292xwOBA .382 · xBA .2703× RHP vs ARI
2Leody TaverasCF / BAL3.0%42 / .361.327xwOBA .322 · xBA .249 · BB% 12.7vs TOR — Sat vs Yesavage (RHP)
3Spencer Horwitz1B / PIT16.0%35 / .310.271xwOBA .332 · xBA .234 · K% 12.8vs MIN — Fri vs T. Bradley, Sat vs Ober, Sun vs Matthews

Taveras has hit safely in 11 of 14 with 4 SB mixed in — a stealth AVG+SB combo if you need both cats.

Pitcher Combos

🔥 Volume + Strikeouts · W + K

Ranked by weekend W×3 + K×0.5 · sub-25% owned SPs · max 1 start per arm in a Fri-Sun window

#PitcherPos / TeamOwnW / K projL14 ERA · WHIPSeasonStatcastWeekend starts
1Peter LambertSP / HOU23.0%0.17 / 0.06.55 ERA · 1.27 WHIP (11 K in 11 IP)xERA 3.76 · Whiff 27.2%1 start, proj 6.0 IP
2Lucas GiolitoSP / SD16.0%0.17 / 0.02.70 ERA · 1.30 WHIP10.0 IP, 2.70 ERA, 4.90 FIPxERA 3.92 · Whiff 18.8%1 start, proj 5.2 IP
3Stephen KolekSP / KC22.0%0.16 / 0.00.00 ERA · 0.65 WHIP (15.3 IP)xERA 3.14 · Whiff 15.7%1 start, proj 4.0 IP
4Keider MonteroSP / DET9.0%0.17 / 0.0xERA 3.73 · Whiff 17.8%1 start, proj 4.7 IP

Lambert's 11 K in 11 L14 IP backs the 27.2% Whiff — highest punch-out signal in this group despite the 6.55 surface ERA.

🎯 Ratio Plays · ERA + WHIP

Ranked by 1/(proj_era × proj_whip) · sub-25% owned SPs with 5+ proj IP

#PitcherPos / TeamOwnERA / WHIP projL14 ERA · WHIPSeasonStatcastWeekend starts
1Stephen KolekSP / KC22.0%4.15 / 1.290.00 · 0.65 (15.3 IP)xERA 3.14 · Whiff 15.7%1 start vs TEX, proj 4.0 IP
2Lucas GiolitoSP / SD16.0%4.17 / 1.282.70 · 1.3010.0 IP, 2.70 ERA, 4.90 FIPxERA 3.92 · Whiff 18.8%1 start vs WSH, proj 5.2 IP
3Peter LambertSP / HOU23.0%4.77 / 1.276.55 · 1.27xERA 3.76 · Whiff 27.2%1 start vs MIL, proj 6.0 IP

Kolek's 0.00/0.65 L14 line over 15.3 IP is the cleanest ratio anchor in the pool — projection regression is baked in, but xERA 3.14 backs the form.

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