Category Chaser — Jun 12–14 Weekend Targets
Low-owned weekend bats and arms sorted by 5×5 category-projection ranking. All stats Statcast-grounded; all under 25% Yahoo owned.
A 45-game three-day window (Fri–Sun) serves up power upside, speed opportunity, and reliable mid-rotation fills in the sub-25% waiver pool.
🏆 Loudest Single-Cat Play
Lars Nootbaar — LF · STL · 4% owned · 💣 Power (HR + RBI)
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Weekend proj | HR 0.91 · RBI 2.7 · R 2.3 · SB 0.0 |
| L14 (live, 6G) | .227/.346/.591 · 2 HR · 5 RBI · 3 R |
| Season slash | — |
| Statcast | xwOBA .436 · xBA .276 · Barrel% 15.4 · HH% 61.5 |
| L7 playing time | 5 starts, longest streak 3, avg order 4.2 |
Weekend slate:
- Fri 2026-06-12 @ MIN — vs SP Joe Ryan (RHP), vs LHB .621 OPS
- Sat 2026-06-13 @ MIN — vs SP Connor Prielipp (LHP), vs LHB .721 OPS
- Sun 2026-06-14 @ MIN — vs SP Taj Bradley (RHP), vs LHB .705 OPS
61.5% hard-hit rate and 15.4% barrel rate anchor this breakout. L14 power surge (2 HR in 26 PA) into a Minnesota sweep without elite arms sets up back-to-back RBI chances in the order-4 slot.
Hitter Combos — Multi-Category Tables
💥 Power Production · HR + RBI
Ranked by weekend HR + RBI×0.4 · all under 25% owned
| # | Player | Pos / Team | Own | HR / RBI proj | L14 (live) | Season slash | Statcast | Weekend matchups |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lars Nootbaar ⭐ | LF / STL | 4% | 0.91 / 2.7 | .227/.346/.591 · 2 HR · 5 RBI | — | xwOBA .436 · Barrel% 15.4 | Order 4: Fri @ Joe Ryan (RHP), Sat vs Prielipp (LHP), Sun vs Bradley (RHP) |
| 2 | Ryan Ward | LF / LAD | 4% | 0.93 / 2.3 | — | — | xwOBA .338 · Barrel% 14.3 | Order 7: Fri vs Kay (LHP), Sat vs Burke (RHP), Sun vs Fedde (RHP) |
| 3 | Paul Goldschmidt | 1B / NYY | 14% | 0.7 / 2.7 | .333/.375/.578 · 3 HR · 13 RBI (11G) | .287/.366/.524 | xwOBA .378 · Barrel% 11.5 | Order 2: Fri–Sun @ TOR vs TBD |
| 4 | Kody Clemens | 1B / MIN | 18% | 0.6 / 2.9 | — | — | xwOBA .332 · Barrel% 13.7 | Order 3: Fri vs Leahy (RHP), Sat vs Liberatore (LHP), Sun vs McGreevy (RHP) |
Ryan Ward plots 5 consecutive starts at 38.1% HH% and project-driven uptick into Chicago's weak LHP arms (0.499 OPS vs LHB). Paul Goldschmidt L14 is 11 games live; TOR pitching TBD limits certainty.
🏃 Speed + Runs · R + SB
Ranked by weekend SB×2 + R×0.3 · all under 25% owned
| # | Player | Pos / Team | Own | R / SB proj | L14 (live) | Season slash | Statcast | Weekend matchups |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nasim Nuñez ⭐ | 2B / WSH | 7% | 0.5 / 1.08 | — | — | xwOBA .267 · HH% 20.0 | Order 8: Fri vs Miller (RHP), Sat vs Castillo (RHP), Sun vs Hancock (RHP) |
| 2 | Samad Taylor | 2B / SD | 0% | 1.2 / 0.84 | — | — | xwOBA .305 · xBA .236 | Order 7: Fri @ Baz (RHP), Sat @ Gibson (RHP), Sun @ Rogers (LHP) |
| 3 | Blake Dunn | RF / CIN | 1% | 2.2 / 0.65 | — | — | xwOBA .272 · HH% 31.6 | Order 2: Fri vs Rodriguez (LHP), Sat vs Soroka (RHP), Sun vs Gallen (RHP) |
| 4 | A.J. Ewing | CF / NYM | 19% | 1.2 / 0.79 | — | — | xwOBA .335 · Barrel% 6.5 | Order 5: Fri vs Strider (RHP), Sat vs Pérez (LHP), Sun vs Elder (RHP) |
- Nasim Nuñez projects 1.08 SB despite 0.5 R due to 9th-order placement; steal upside in weak Seattle pitching. Samad Taylor at 0% owned is a pure flyer—zero MLB sample context available.*
Pitcher Combos
🔥 Volume + Strikeouts · W + K
Ranked by weekend W×3 + K×0.5 · sub-25% owned SPs
| # | Pitcher | Pos / Team | Own | W / K proj | L14 ERA · K/9 | Season | Statcast | Weekend starts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Kolek ⭐ | SP / KC | 22% | 0.17 / 0.0 | 3.71 ERA · 8.5 K/9 (3G, 17 IP) | 3.78 ERA · 1.22 WHIP · 7.2 K/9 · 0W | xERA 3.37 · Whiff% 20.7 | Fri–Sun: 1.0 start · 6.1 IP proj · ERA 3.78 |
| 2 | Javier Assad | SP / CHC | 3% | 0.17 / 0.0 | 0.00 ERA · — (1G, 2 IP) | — | xERA 4.49 · Whiff% 14.7 | Fri–Sun: 1.0 start · 6.5 IP proj · ERA 4.39 |
| 3 | Sean Burke | SP / CWS | 23% | 0.16 / 0.0 | — · — (2G, 3 IP bullpen) | — | xERA 3.70 · Whiff% 21.4 | Fri–Sun: 1.0 start · 6.5 IP proj · ERA 4.55 |
| 4 | Colin Rea | SP / CHC | 12% | 0.17 / 0.0 | 8.10 ERA · 4.5 K/9 (2G, 10 IP) | 4.66 ERA · 1.38 WHIP | xERA 5.84 · Whiff% 21.1 | Fri–Sun: 1.0 start · 6.3 IP proj · ERA 4.66 |
Each SP is allocated 1 start in the Fri–Sun window. Stephen Kolek 17-inning L14 sample (3.71 ERA, 16 K) and sub-3.4 xERA edge the group; Colin Rea elevated ERA but xERA-WHIP mismatch hints regression risk.
🎯 Ratio Plays · ERA + WHIP
Ranked by 1/(proj_era × proj_whip) — lowest combined ratios · sub-25% owned SPs with 5+ proj IP
| # | Pitcher | Pos / Team | Own | ERA / WHIP proj | L14 | Season | Statcast | Weekend starts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Kolek ⭐ | SP / KC | 22% | 3.78 / 1.22 | 3.71 ERA · 1.41 WHIP (3G, 17 IP) | 3.78 ERA · 1.22 WHIP · 7.2 K/9 | xERA 3.37 · Whiff% 20.7 | Fri–Sun: 1.0 start · 6.1 IP proj |
| 2 | Sean Burke | SP / CWS | 23% | 4.55 / 1.21 | — · — (2G bullpen) | — | xERA 3.70 · Whiff% 21.4 | Fri–Sun: 1.0 start · 6.5 IP proj |
| 3 | Javier Assad | SP / CHC | 3% | 4.39 / 1.25 | 0.00 ERA · 0.00 WHIP (1G, 2 IP) | — | xERA 4.49 · Whiff% 14.7 | Fri–Sun: 1.0 start · 6.5 IP proj |
| 4 | Zack Littell | SP / WSH | 21% | 4.97 / 1.30 | 2.45 ERA · 0.91 WHIP (2G, 11 IP) | 4.97 ERA · 1.30 WHIP | xERA 5.92 · Whiff% 16.2 | Fri–Sun: 1.0 start · 6.5 IP proj |
Zack Littell L14 is 2 starts (11 IP) at 2.45 ERA with elite 0.91 WHIP; xERA (5.92) signals regression risk but low-sample excellence earns inclusion. Javier Assad bullpen appearance (2 IP, 0.00 ERA) is insufficient for trend confidence—starter role change is model-fresh.
🔒 Saves · SV
Ranked by weekend SV proj · sub-25% owned RPs
| # | Pitcher | Pos / Team | Own | SV / HLD proj | L14 bullpen | Role | Weekend outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clayton Beeter ⭐ | RP / WSH | 11% | 0.44 / 0.33 | 5G · 1.7 IP · 2 SV · 1 HLD · 21.60 ERA | CONFIRMED CLOSER | Direct save path; projected 0.44 SV this weekend |
| 2 | Yoendrys Gómez | RP / MIN | 14% | 0.38 / 0.38 | 5G · 0.7 IP · 1 SV · 1 HLD · 0.00 ERA | CONFIRMED CLOSER | Direct save path; 0.38 SV projection |
| 3 | Anthony Nunez | RP / BAL | 1% | 0.2 / 0.4 | 4G · 1.7 IP · 0 SV · 0 HLD · 21.60 ERA | Save-streamer (Helsley IL) | Low-volume IL relief opportunity; 0.2 SV projection |
Clayton Beeter confirmed WSH closer with 2 saves in 5 recent apps, lowest ERA denominator among confirmed roles. Yoendrys Gómez MIN's locked closer posting 0.00 ERA across 5 apps. Anthony Nunez (1% owned) is Baltimore's next-in-line behind IL'd Ryan Helsley—lottery save equity only.