☕ Morning Java — All-Star Break Edition · Mon, Jul 13, 2026
5 Moves to Reset Your Roster
The break's biggest fantasy dominoes in one place — two starters hitting the IL, a scary comebacker that came back clean, an ace on a precautionary rest, and Dylan Cease getting the AL All-Star Game ball. Who to drop, stash, stream, and sell before Friday. Graded on the data, not the name.
📋 TL;DR — the 5 that matterSkim
- Nick Lodolo (CIN, SP) → 15-day IL, recurring finger blister. Back ~7/27. IL-STASH.
- Emerson Hancock (SEA, SP) → took a comebacker off the pitching hand, but X-rays negative, day-to-day. HOLD.
- Dylan Cease (TOR, SP) → starts the All-Star Game for the AL, first Blue Jay since Halladay. HOLD (narrative, not a move).
- Zac Gallen (ARI, SP) → 15-day IL (elbow, no timeline) on top of a 6.34 ERA disaster. DROP in most formats.
- Jacob Misiorowski (MIL, SP) → scratched with arm fatigue (no IL, no imaging), will also miss the first series out of the break. HOLD, but you're down a start.
🩹 Injuries & IL
- Zac Gallen (ARI) — placed on the 15-day IL with right elbow inflammation (retro 7/9); no timeline until after the break. He was a wreck before it — 0-5, 8.24 ERA over his last 8 and a career-low 13.9% K rate. Verdict: DROP in 12-teamers; deep-league stash only, and even then it's a bet on health and a turnaround.
- Nick Lodolo (CIN) — to the 15-day IL with a blister on his left index finger, a recurring issue that's cost him time in four straight seasons. Eligible 7/27; expect ~2 missed starts after the break. He'd been rolling (1.35 ERA over his prior 4). Verdict: IL-STASH — the arm is fine, it's the finger. Rhett Lowder takes the rotation spot (see Adds).
- Emerson Hancock (SEA) — exited Sunday after a 107-mph comebacker hit his pitching hand. X-rays came back negative and no IL stint is expected. Verdict: HOLD, monitor his next turn. Quietly excellent (3.17 ERA, 1.00 WHIP) in a deep six-man rotation.
- Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) — scratched from the first-half finale with arm fatigue. Key detail: no IL, no imaging — but he'll also skip the Brewers' first series after the break, so he's a start behind. Verdict: HOLD the NL Cy Young front-runner (1.62 ERA, 167 K); don't pencil in that first-week start, and watch the workload.
📈 Adds & streamers
- Rhett Lowder (CIN, SP) — moves from the bullpen into the rotation for Lodolo, likely 7/18 at Colorado. Coors caps the first turn, but he's a speculative ADD in deeper leagues if Lodolo lingers.
- Brandon Pfaadt (ARI, SP) — 5th straight quality start, outdueled Yamamoto in the sweep of LA. Verdict: STREAM/ADD — the cleanest buy on the board today.
- Chase Petty (CIN, RHP) — recalled with Lodolo's move, but slotted for bullpen work for now. Watch, not an add yet.
📉 Sell-high watch
- Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI, SP) — All-Star nod on a 1.91 ERA over his last 12, but the underlying metrics scream regression. Verdict: SELL-HIGH if someone will pay for the surface line.
⭐ Break notes
- All-Star Game (Tue 7/14, Philadelphia): Dylan Cease (TOR) starts for the AL — first Blue Jay since Halladay — opposite Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) for the NL at home.
- Futures Game: AL beat NL 6-1; Nathan Flewelling (TB, C) homered and took MVP. One for the dynasty watchlist.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — scratched with knee irritation; he'll skip pitching in the ASG and get the knee drained plus an injection over the break, with a return to the rotation expected after. Bat unaffected. HOLD/MONITOR.
@kodoAnalytics · graded on Statcast, not name value · kodoanalytics.com
