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The Adds Sheet — 5/13: Ewing's debut pop, Vargas unlucky, Ashby setup elite

Top conviction HOLD: Miguel Vargas (76% owned) — xwOBA 0.403 crushes wOBA 0.333 by 70 points; BABIP 0.221 is floor-level; 3B role locked with 15.5% Barrel rate signaling power rebound imminent.

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May 13, 2026

The Adds Sheet — 5/13: Ewing's debut pop, Vargas unlucky, Ashby setup elite

Top conviction HOLD: Miguel Vargas (76% owned) — xwOBA 0.403 crushes wOBA 0.333 by 70 points; BABIP 0.221 is floor-level; 3B role locked with 15.5% Barrel rate signaling power rebound imminent.

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Top Adds — May 13, 2026

These are Yahoo's top 15 owned-increase gainers over the past 24 hours, ranked by day-over-day ownership delta.


#1 AVOID A.J. Ewing

OF · NYM · 15% → 28% (▲ +13.0pp)

Why he's being added: The Mets' fanbase finally had a chance to be optimistic on social media after @AnthonyDiComo reported Ewing's historic debut — "three walks, including one with the bases loaded, plus an RBI triple and a stolen base. He's reached base safely in four of his five plate appearances." @DeeshaThosar noted he's the first Mets player ever to log a triple as his first career hit. The underlying Statcast is terrifying: xwOBA 0.761, xBA 0.589...in just one game so hold your horses.

#PlayerRoleStatus
1aLuis Robert Jr. (IL)starterIL
1bA.J. Ewingdepth

⬜ 05-11 🟢8 05-12

Stream ▓░░░░░░░░░ Hold · 15% — debut hype play, no role lock

Verdict: STREAM. Ewing has the potential to usurp Luis Robert Jr. as the top CF for the Mets, as they look for performance over name recognition. When Robert Jr. returns from IL, we'll see what the Mets will do - including the possibility of moving Robert Jr. to DH.


#2 SELL Brayan Rocchio

SS · CLE · 19% → 22% (▲ +3.0pp)

Why he's being added: The Indians' starting shortstop has authored a quietly respectable 12-game run (.280 AVG, 6 SB in 12G), and his daily roster bump suggests league-wide interest in a speed-first middle-infielder with starting role lock.

#PlayerRoleStatus
1Brayan Rocchiostarter
2Daniel Schneemannplatoon/backup

🟢7 05-07 🟢7 05-08 🟢9 05-09 🟢9 05-10 🟢9 05-11 🟢9 05-12

Stream ▓▓▓▓░░░░░░ Hold · 40% — starter role, poor peripherals

Verdict: SELL. Rocchio's 0.313 xwOBA trails his 0.340 wOBA by 23 points—a signal his BABIP and contact luck are running hot. His 2.3% Barrel rate and 30.2% HH% profile as a slap-hitter with zero power upside. Hold for speed in deeper leagues; in 12-team, he's a clear downgrade target once the AVG regression hits.


#3 HOLD Ezequiel Duran

1B/2B/3B/SS/OF · TEX · 23% → 26% (▲ +3.0pp)

Why he's being added: Rangers LF #1 has posted .280 AVG with 2 HR over 12 games, scoring 9 runs to spark mid-lineup depth. His xwOBA sits at 0.326 with respectable 6.5% Barrel and 44.2% HH metrics.

🟢2 05-07 🟢2 05-08 🟢2 05-09 🟢2 05-10 🟢2 05-11 🟢6 05-12 🔴 B 05-13

Stream ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ Hold · 30% — role lock, small sample

Verdict: HOLD. The signal note flags 'sample size light — limited signal,' and with only 12 games and 2 HR, there's zero predictive power here. Duran's starting role is legitimate while the Rangers recover from the injury bug, but add him only if you're chasing AVG in a shallow bench league; the power upside hasn't materialized.


#4 HOLD Daylen Lile

OF · WSH · 50% → 52% (▲ +2.0pp)

Why he's being added: Washington's LF starter has notched 11 hits in 50 AB over 12 games with a 0.348 xwOBA and 36.6% HH rate, suggesting more contact than his 0.220 average shows.

🟢2 05-07 🟢6 05-08 🟢5 05-09 🟢5 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🟢6 05-12

Stream ▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░ Hold · 50% — starter role, modest peripherals, IL beneficiary

Verdict: HOLD. Lile's role is locked, his xwOBA is approaching league average, and the .220 BABIP floor suggests positive regression once contact translates to line drives. Not a buy-low superstar, but a reliable streaming source with starting-lineup job security through late May.


#5 WATCH Dominic Smith

1B · ATL · 3% → 4% (▲ +1.0pp)

Why he's being added: The Braves' DH platoon arm has exploded offensively: .368 AVG with 8.3% Barrel rate and 41.7% HH over 10 games. xwOBA sits at 0.402, a tantalizing indicator of power brewing. However, his 🟢• symbols (May 8–10) suggest pinch-hit usage, not everyday ABs. The shift of Baldwin to pure C with Sean Murphy returning to the IL could open up some reps.

#PlayerRoleStatus
1Drake Baldwinstarter
2Dominic Smithplatoon/backup

⬜ 05-07 🟢• 05-08 🟢• 05-09 🟢• 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🟢7 05-12

Stream ▓░░░░░░░░░ Hold · 10% — platoon backup, limited PT

Verdict: AVOID. Smith's xwOBA (0.388) lags wOBA (0.410) by 22 points, signaling BABIP luck at play. More critically, he's a potential platoon bat with pinch-hit seasonality; there's no AB floor here. The hot streak will cool; don't marry a part-timer.


#6 SELL Brandon Marsh

OF · PHI · 42% → 43% (▲ +1.0pp)

Why he's being added: Philadelphia's LF starter has ripped the cover off the ball: .416 AVG with 0 HR over 12 games, 11 runs scored. The 48.2% HH rate is elite, but the underlying xwOBA (0.344) trails his .308 wOBA significantly—a red flag.

#PlayerRoleStatus
1Brandon Marshstarter
2Edmundo Sosabackup (corner-OF flex)

🟢5 05-07 🟢5 05-08 🟢6 05-09 🟢5 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🟢5 05-12

Stream ▓▓▓▓░░░░░░ Hold · 40% — role lock, BABIP regression risk

Verdict: SELL. Marsh's 0.413 BABIP is historically unsustainable; his xwOBA exceeds wOBA by 0.038 only because of sequencing luck, not underlying quality. The .416 AVG will regress to earth—likely 0.290s—once balls in play normalize. Hold for potential HR/RBI, but don't chase the average.


#7 HOLD Gregory Soto

RP · PIT · 40% → 41% (▲ +1.0pp)

Why he's being added: Pittsburgh's closer has posted a 1.45 ERA (1W, 3 SV) over 6 games with a 2.05 xERA and 28% Whiff rate. The ERA is significantly outpacing the FIP (2.52), a typical sign of early-season good fortune, but his Stuff+ 123 elite arsenal means results will stabilize upward.

Primary closer in Pittsburgh's bullpen.

🟢• 05-07 🔴 B 05-08 🔴 B 05-09 🟢• 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🟢• 05-12

Stream ░░░░░░▓▓▓▓ Hold · 75% — closer role, elite stuff, stable ERA

Verdict: HOLD. Soto's closer designation and elite arsenal (Stuff+ 123) trump the ERA-over-FIP gap. His next regression will likely be modest; own him as a holds-league anchor. The 1.45 ERA may not stick, but his 3 saves and elite Whiff rate (28%) could cement him as a top-10 closer.


#8 BUY Luis García Jr.

1B · WSH · 40% → 41% (▲ +1.0pp)

Why he's being added: The Nationals' first-base starter has posted a .370 AVG (2 HR, 5 RBI) over 8 games, with a wrist issue intermittently, with xwOBA 0.320 exceeding wOBA 0.281 by 31 points—a buy-low signal.

#PlayerRoleStatus
1Luis García Jr.starter-
2Curtis Meadplatoon/backup

🔴 B 05-07 🟢• 05-08 🟢• 05-09 🟢2 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🟢2 05-12

Stream ░░░▓▓▓▓▓▓░ Hold · 70% — IL return, role lock, xwOBA beat

Verdict: BUY. Luis García Jr. is a bona fide stash with xwOBA outpacing wOBA by 31 points—textbook underperformance on quality contact. His 1B role is locked; upon activation, grab him immediately. The .370 AVG will regress, but the underlying metrics suggest a 0.280+ hitter with gap power.


#9 HOLD Rico Garcia

RP · BAL · 34% → 35% (▲ +1.0pp)

Why he's being added: Baltimore's setup reliever has authored a perfect 0.00 ERA (1W, 2 SV) over his last 6 games with elite 39.7% Whiff rate and 1.85 xERA. His Stuff+ 140 is among the elite in baseball; the 0.53 ERA is an obvious deviation from xERA (2.79), but the peripherals are genuine.

#PlayerRoleStatus
1**Rico Garciaco-closer
2Dietrich Ennsco-closer
3Anthony Nunezco-closer

🔴 B 05-07 🔴 B 05-08 🔴 B 05-09 🟢• 05-10 🟢• 05-11 🔴 B 05-12

Stream ▓▓░░░░░▓▓░ Hold · 45% — setup role, elite whiff%, sparse usage

Verdict: HOLD. Rico Garcia (35% owned) is a setup arm with Stuff+ 140 elite arsenal, although carrying an ERA-to-xERA gap (2.26 point spread) suggests he's riding a heater that will normalize. Own in holds leagues with potential save-upside while Helsley recovers; he'll be a functional 8th-inning arm once regression hits, but don't expect 2.00 ERA.


#10 BUY Aaron Ashby

RP · MIL · 33% → 34% (▲ +1.0pp)

Why he's being added: Milwaukee's setup reliever has posted a 1.25 ERA (2W, 0 SV) over 4 games with 11 K in 7.2 IP, xERA 2.28, and elite 38% Whiff rate. His Stuff+ 110 elite arsenal and 55.6% GB% suggest a true quality-outcome pitcher whose ERA is sustainable. Ashby holds the highest number of wins among relievers with 7 on the season.

⬜ 05-07 🔴 B 05-08 🟢• 05-09 🟢• 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🔴 B 05-12

Stream ░░░░░░▓▓▓▓ Hold · 80% — setup role, elite stuff, KB profile

Verdict: AVOID. Aaron Ashby (34% owned) is a buy-low setup arm with Stuff+ 110 and a 55.6% ground-ball rate that limits home run risk. His 1.25 ERA may not stick, but the xERA (2.28) and elite Whiff rate (38%) suggest a 2.75–3.25 ERA is realistic - elite for a setup arm. Own him in holds leagues; his role is secure. The only issue is expecting the same level of win production that he has carried in the early season - this is not sustainable.


#11 STREAM Garrett Cleavinger

RP · TB · 8% → 9% (▲ +1.0pp)

Why he's being added: The Rays' setup reliever has appeared in 5 games with 1 SV and a 2.20 ERA over 4.1 IP, posting 6 K. The xERA 3.26 suggests he's pitching above his true talent level; no clear injury update in today's curated report.

#PlayerRoleStatus
1Griffin Jaxcloser
2Ian Seymoursetup
3Garrett Cleavingersetup
4Kevin Kellymiddle
5Cole Sulsermiddle
6Hunter Biggemiddle

🟢• 05-07 🔴 B 05-08 🔴 B 05-09 🟢• 05-10 🔴 B 05-11 🟢• 05-12 🔴 B 05-13

Stream ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ Hold · 30% — setup arm, modest peripherals, sparse use

Verdict: STREAM. Garrett Cleavinger (9% owned) is a low-floor setup option with xERA trailing his ERA by 1.06 points—a sign his 2.20 is inflated by sequencing. Grab him for a week as a holds stream, then move on. The 3.26 xERA will show up eventually. He was likely only used as a save-option yesterday due to Baker being overused of late.


#12 BUY Miguel Vargas

1B/3B · CWS · 75% → 76% (▲ +1.0pp)

Why he's being added: The White Sox' starting third baseman has posted a .255 AVG (3 HR, 9 RBI) over 11 games with an elite 0.406 xwOBA crushing his 0.333 wOBA by 70 points. His 15.5% Barrel rate is excellent; his 0.221 BABIP is historically low, signaling imminent average rebound.

⬜ 05-07 🟢3 05-08 🟢3 05-09 🟢3 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🟢3 05-12

Stream ░░▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░ Hold · 85% — starter role, xwOBA crush, BABIP floor

Verdict: BUY. Miguel Vargas (76% owned) is the session's highest-conviction hold: his xwOBA (0.403) beats wOBA (0.333) by 70 points, his Barrel rate (15.5%) is excellent, and his 0.221 BABIP is a floor—expect rapid AVG rebound to 0.290s. He's already widely rostered, but if available in your league, move fast. The power is real.


#13 SELL Ryan Jeffers

C · MIN · 51% → 52% (▲ +1.0pp)

Why he's being added: Minnesota's starting catcher has posted a .292 AVG (3 HR, 7 RBI) over 10 games with an elite 16.3% Barrel rate and 44.2% HH, paired with a 0.389 xwOBA. The role is locked, but the underlying metrics signal volatility.

#PlayerRoleStatus
1Ryan Jeffersstarter
2Victor Caratiniplatoon/backup

🟢4 05-07 🟢3 05-08 🔴 B 05-09 🟢3 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🟢3 05-12

Stream ▓▓░░░░░░░░ Hold · 20% — starter C role, small sample

Verdict: SELL. Ryan Jeffers (52% owned) benefits from a 10-game hot streak, but the signal flags 'sample size light — limited signal.' His 16.3% Barrel rate is outlier-high; expect it to normalize to 8–10%. The catcher spot is shallow, but don't overpay for a small-sample power surge.


#14 AVOID Anthony Volpe

SS · NYY · 6% → 7% (▲ +1.0pp)

Why he's being added: The Yankees' backup shortstop has been recalled from Triple-A per @BryanHoch ('Anthony Volpe has been recalled from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, source confirms'). However, his IL status (shoulder, placed 2026-03-25) is still active, and @BryanHoch reports José Caballero will be the starter 'when healthy'—making Volpe a placeholder.

#PlayerRoleStatus
1José Caballero (IL)starterIL
2Anthony Volpeplatoon/backup-
3Max Schuemanndepth

Stream ▓░░░░░░░░░ Hold · 15% — IL placeholder, #2 depth chart

Verdict: AVOID. Anthony Volpe (7% owned) will have some runway to make an impact, but will have to compete with Max Schuemann and win back Aaron Boones' trust. He could be worth a flyer in a 15-team league, but monitor in the short-term and keep an eye on Jose Caballero's status.Skim

#15 BUY Bryson Stott

2B/SS · PHI · 34% → 35% (▲ +1.0pp)

Why he's being added: Philadelphia's starting second baseman has posted a .220 AVG (3 HR, 12 RBI, 3 SB) over 13 games with a 0.298 xwOBA exceeding his 0.237 wOBA by 55 points—a textbook underperformance signal. His 0.242 BABIP is historically low, and his 6.8% Barrel rate is decent; the AVG rebound is imminent.

#PlayerRoleStatus
1Bryson Stottstarter
2Edmundo Sosaplatoon/backup

🟢6 05-07 🟢7 05-08 🟢9 05-09 🟢7 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🟢7 05-12 🔴 B 05-13

Stream ░░░▓▓▓▓▓▓░ Hold · 75% — starter role, xwOBA beat, BABIP floor

Verdict: BUY. Bryson Stott (35% owned) is a buy-low 2B with xwOBA (0.292) crushing wOBA (0.237) by 55 points and a BABIP floor at 0.242. His starting role is locked; expect rapid AVG normalization to 0.270s–0.290s. The speed is a bonus (3 SB); own him as a solid 2B anchor through May.


SummarySkim

Top conviction HOLD: Miguel Vargas (76% owned) — his xwOBA crushes wOBA by 70 points; 0.221 BABIP is historically low floor; 15.5% Barrel rate confirms power; starting 3B role locked.

Top conviction STREAM: A.J. Ewing (28% owned) — one epic debut does not override the faith the Mets have in Robert Jr., but it is worth a stash for Ewing if the Mets potentially get rolling.

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