The Adds Sheet — 5/14: Garrett spot start, Lile rhythm, Raley could break out in RF

These are Yahoo's top adds for May 14, ranked by day-over-day ownership percentage gains across all Yahoo leagues.

#1 HOLD Braxton Garrett

SP · MIA · 6% → 14% owned (▲ +8.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added Braxton Garrett jumps 8 percentage points on a single tweet: @CraigMish reported that Marlins manager Clayton McCullough announced rookie pitcher Robbie Snelling has a UCL sprain, and Garrett will start tomorrow. Garrett lands at MLB SP #6 on depth but now slots into a vacated spot in Miami's rotation, with real playing-time runway as long as he keeps the role. His 0.77 ERA in recent work in the AAA hopefully will translate to MLB swing-and-misses; streaming a 5+ inning outing from a pitcher getting a go-ahead nod in a staffing crunch is exactly what waiver wires are for.

Stream / Hold meter Stream ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░░░ Hold · 65% — situation hold

Verdict: Garrett is a short-term rotation fill with a clear start Thursday; hold him through that outing, then evaluate Friday based on whether Miami keeps him in the slot or reverts to a long-relief look when Snelling is cleared to retry.

#2 HOLD Daylen Lile

OF · WSH · 53% → 57% owned (▲ +4.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added Daylen Lile is the primary left fielder in Washington's healthy lineup and has quietly built a 12-game stretch (12-50, .240 avg, 3 HR, 8 RBI, 8 R, 2 SB) with elite underlying metrics: xwOBA 0.353, xBA 0.279, Barrel% 7.4, and a robust 37.0% HH rate. His batting average is playing down relative to expected production, which signals a positive regression floor. At 53% owned, he's barely passed the half-mark in 12-team leagues, making him a legitimate depth-of-lineup value play with room to run as the underlying power manifests.

Last 7 days 🟢2 05-07 🟢6 05-08 🟢5 05-09 🟢5 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🟢6 05-12 🟢6 05-13

Stream / Hold meter Stream ▓▓▓▓▓░░░░░ Hold · 55% — leans hold on peripherals

Verdict: Lile's daily consistency (6 starts in 7 days post-May-11 off-day) locks him into WSH's lineup; hold through the hot streak as regression rewards the underlying power profile.

#3 AVOID Anthony Nunez

RP · BAL · 0% → 3% owned (▲ +3.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added No clear catalyst in the data — Anthony Nunez sits as one of many potential RP's in Baltimore withe save potential. Over hte last two weeks, he's had a 6-game, 5.2 IP L14 stretch that includes a 8.65 ERA, 1 SV, and a 4.16 xERA. His Whiff% (36.5) is respectable, but the 3-point ownership spike appears speculative: he's benched five of the last seven days, with just two appearances in the past week. Middle relievers riding hot usage streaks often vanish from the waiver wire when the team regains depth.

Last 7 days 🔴 B 05-07 🔴 B 05-08 🔴 B 05-09 🟢• 05-10 🟢• 05-11 🔴 B 05-12 🔴 B 05-13

Stream / Hold meter Stream ▓▓░░░░░░░░ Hold · 20% — pure spec play

Verdict: Avoid; Nunez is waiver-wire noise with limited opportunity for saves and a returning Helsley in the near future.

#4 HOLD A.J. Ewing

CF (2B/OF eligible) · NYM · 32% → 34% owned (▲ +2.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added A.J. Ewing made his MLB debut May 12 and made history: per @AnthonyDiComo, he became the first Mets player ever to log a triple as his first career hit. The same beat reporter noted three walks in his debut, including one with the bases loaded, plus an RBI triple and a stolen base — 4-of-5 plate appearances reaching base safely. His debut triple came off a 104.1 mph bat exit per @AnthonyDiComo. He'll continue to compete with Luis Robert Jr. for ABs, but the fresh callup is ready to take flight.

Stream / Hold meter Stream ▓▓▓░░░░░░░ Hold · 30% — tiny sample, massive vibe

Verdict: Hold Ewing as a lottery ticket; his debut is proof-of-concept for major-league athleticism, but he's a true rookie with no guaranteed ABs. Drop if he doesn't start 4+ games in the next 10 days.

#5 AVOID Seth Hernandez

SP · PIT · 3% → 4% owned (▲ +1.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added Seth Hernandez is off to a torrid start to his professional career in A-ball. In 28 IP he has allowed 3ER while accumulating 50 strikeouts. This add is for dynasty leagues rather than redrafts.

#6 AVOID Lucas Giolito

SP · SD · 6% → 7% owned (▲ +1.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added Lucas Giolito is getting closer and closer to returning to the majors. Signed in April as starter depth for the Padres, he'll look to make his debut soon. Keep an eye on when that day will come.

#7 SELL Brandon Marsh

OF · PHI · 43% → 44% owned (▲ +1.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added Brandon Marsh is Philadelphia's primary left fielder and has been on the field every day for seven consecutive games (05-07 through 05-13). His L14 line reads exceptional: 13G, 20-51, .392 avg, 4 RBI, 11 R, 0 SB. But the underlying data screams regression: xwOBA 0.344 lags his actual wOBA by 38 points (0.344 − 0.308 = +0.036 actual over expected), and his .413 BABIP is unsustainably high. He's been elevated by batting-average luck; the xBA sits at 0.305, suggesting a floor around .280 going forward.

Last 7 days 🟢5 05-07 🟢5 05-08 🟢6 05-09 🟢5 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🟢5 05-12 🟢• 05-13

Stream / Hold meter Stream ░░░▓▓░░░░░ Hold · 35% — regression candidate

Verdict: Sell or bench Marsh; his .392 BA is a short-term mirage driven by elite BABIP luck (0.413). His true-talent xBA is 0.305, signaling a .270–.290 floor incoming.

#8 SELL Mickey Moniak

OF · COL · 69% → 70% owned (▲ +1.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added Mickey Moniak is Colorado's primary left fielder and has been active six of the last seven days. His L14 line is eye-popping: 11G, 13-42, .309 avg, 4 HR, 10 RBI, 6 R, 0 SB. However, his Statcast peripherals are a screaming sell signal: xwOBA 0.329 trails his wOBA (0.402) by 73 points. This is the opposite of Marsh — Moniak's power surge is better than expected, but his xwOBA lags reality, meaning his 4 HR in 11 games is likely a short-term spike in variance. At 70% ownership and with heavy buy-in, he's a consensus bust candidate waiting to regress.

Last 7 days 🟢2 05-07 🟢5 05-08 🟢2 05-09 🟢6 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🟢• 05-12 🟢2 05-13

Stream / Hold meter Stream ░░░░░▓▓▓▓▓ Hold · 85% — but underlying signal SELL

Verdict: Sell Moniak despite high ownership; his xwOBA lags wOBA by 73 points, indicating unsustainable HR variance. Unload before the regression becomes visible on the stat sheet.

#9 SELL Aaron Civale

SP · ATH · 20% → 21% owned (▲ +1.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added Aaron Civale is a primary starter in Oakland's rotation with a pristine 2-game, 11.0 IP stretch posting a 0.82 ERA and 2 wins. But the underlying metrics betray a floor: xERA 4.16 exceeds his actual ERA (0.82) by 3.34 runs, signaling major regression ahead. His Whiff% (19.3) is below-average for a starter, and the elite ERA is almost certainly a small-sample artifact. This is classic ERA-under-FIP breakdown — his 3.87 FIP will likely prove closer to true talent than his 2.59 ERA.

Last 7 days 🔴 B 05-07 🔴 B 05-08 🟢• 05-09 🔴 B 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🔴 B 05-12 🔴 B 05-13

Stream / Hold meter Stream ▓░░░░░░░░░ Hold · 15% — ERA mirage

Verdict: Sell Civale; his 0.82 ERA is driven by absurdly low xERA gap (4.16) — his true talent is a 4.0+ ERA starter, not an elite arm.

#10 SELL JoJo Romero

RP · STL · 14% → 15% owned (▲ +1.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added JoJo Romero is listed as the main set-up man in St. Louis, and his L14 line (6G, 5.3 IP, 9K, 1.70 ERA, 0 SV) looks sharp. But like Aaron Civale, the underlying FIP betrays elite ERA regression: his xERA (4.60) exceeds his actual ERA (3.50) by 1.1 runs. His Whiff% (23.5) is below-average for a closer role, and his 5.14 FIP signals a 4.5+ ERA is the true talent. The 1-point ownership bump is sideways noise; the verdict is sell, not add.

Last 7 days 🟢• 05-07 🔴 B 05-08 🔴 B 05-09 🟢• 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🟢• 05-12 🔴 B 05-13

Stream / Hold meter Stream ▓░░░░░░░░░ Hold · 15% — ERA mirage, closer title

Verdict: Sell Romero; his set-up title masks a 4.60 xERA. The 1.70 L14 ERA is unsustainable; ship him out before the 3.5+ ERA arrives.

#11 HOLD Heliot Ramos

OF · SF · 48% → 49% owned (▲ +1.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added Heliot Ramos is San Francisco's primary left fielder and has been active six of the last seven days. His L14 stretch (13G, 16-58, .275 avg, 1 HR, 6 RBI, 8 R, 0 SB) carries a strong underlying signal: xwOBA 0.331 exceeds wOBA (0.309) by 26 points, indicating positive regression as his power normalizes. His Barrel% (13.3) is respectable, and the HH% (49.6) is elite contact quality. His BABIP (.360) is elevated, but the xwOBA edge suggests real power upside is being masked by current macro scoring.

Last 7 days ⬜ 05-07 🟢7 05-08 🟢3 05-09 🟢5 05-10 🟢• 05-11 🟢5 05-12 🔴 B 05-13

Stream / Hold meter Stream ▓▓▓▓▓▓░░░░ Hold · 60% — xwOBA edge, lineup lock

Verdict: Hold Ramos; his xwOBA exceeds wOBA by 26 points and he's locked into SF's #1 left-field slot. Ride through the avg slump as power manifests.

#12 AVOID Grayson Rodriguez

SP · LAA · 15% → 16% owned (▲ +1.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added Grayson Rodriguez is a primary starter (SP #4) in Los Angeles' rotation but is currently on the 15-day IL with right shoulder inflammation, placed in April 2026 with an ETA of Late May 2026 per MLB.com (May 12). The 1-point ownership spike is purely speculative IL stashing; he's not eligible to pitch for 1–2 weeks, and even then will continue to face a rehab assignment before MLB action.

Stream / Hold meter Stream ░░░░░░░░░░ Hold · 0% — IL stash, no near-term ETA

Verdict: Avoid; Rodriguez is IL-locked through late May with a rehab assignment queue. His 1-point bump is premature stashing noise.

#13 BUY Luke Raley

OF (1B/OF eligible) · SEA · 15% → 16% owned (▲ +1.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added Luke Raley is Seattle's primary right fielder and his L14 line (7G, 5-23, .217 avg, 3 HR, 10 RBI, 5 R, 0 SB) shows both boom and bust — but the underlying Statcast profile is elite: xwOBA 0.390 exceeds wOBA (0.342) by 48 points, Barrel% 23.1 (top decile), HH% 55.4 (elite contact quality). His .217 BA is a statistical illusion; he's hitting the ball harder than 95% of MLB and the power is materializing (3 HR in 7 games). The 0.048 xwOBA edge signals meaningful positive regression as BABIP normalizes.

Last 7 days ⬜ 05-07 🟢7 05-08 🔴 B 05-09 🟢• 05-10 🟢• 05-11 🟢6 05-12 🔴 B 05-13

Stream / Hold meter Stream ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░░░ Hold · 70% — elite power metrics, .217 BA mirage

Verdict: Buy Raley; his xwOBA (0.390) towers 48 points above his wOBA (0.342), and his 23.1% Barrel rate is elite. His batting average will rebound hard as variance normalizes — he's a power-upside hold with a locked RF role.

#14 BUY Aaron Ashby

RP · MIL · 34% → 35% owned (▲ +1.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added Aaron Ashby is Milwaukee's #2 setup reliever with a clean L14 stretch: 4G, 7.2 IP, 11K, 1.25 ERA, 2W. His underlying metrics are elite: xERA 2.22 (top quartile), Whiff% 38.0 (elite swing-and-miss), and a 55.6% GB% (sinker-heavy profile limiting HR risk). The data suggests he's a Buy-low candidate — a relief arm with elite stuff (Stuff+ 110 per the signal block) and results that are already in line. He's been benched twice in seven days but when active has pitched, suggesting a role lock is materializing.

Last 7 days ⬜ 05-07 🔴 B 05-08 🟢• 05-09 🟢• 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🔴 B 05-12 🔴 B 05-13

Stream / Hold meter Stream ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░░░ Hold · 70% — elite xERA, setup tier

Verdict: Buy Ashby; his 2.22 xERA and 38.0% Whiff% are elite for a setup arm, and his sinker-heavy profile (55.6% GB) locks down HR risk. He's a mid-tier RP on an upward trajectory.

#15 BUY Miguel Vargas

3B (1B/3B eligible) · CWS · 76% → 77% owned (▲ +1.0pp day-over-day)

Why he's being added Miguel Vargas is Chicago's primary third baseman and his L14 line (10G, 11-42, .261 avg, 3 HR, 8 RBI, 7 R, 1 SB) masks a massive Buy signal: xwOBA 0.403 exceeds wOBA (0.333) by 70 points, the largest delta on today's board. His Barrel% (15.1) and HH% (44.5) are both respectable, but his .221 BABIP is unlucky-low — a full 140 points below league average. As BABIP normalizes toward .300+, his batting average should climb to .290–.310 range while the power (3 HR in 10 games) continues. At 77% ownership, he's nearly universal, but the 1-point spike reveals he's still slipping through shallow rosters.

Last 7 days ⬜ 05-07 🟢3 05-08 🟢3 05-09 🟢3 05-10 ⬜ 05-11 🟢3 05-12 🔴 B 05-13

Stream / Hold meter Stream ▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓▓░ Hold · 90% — BABIP unlucky, xwOBA elite

Verdict: Buy Vargas; his 0.070 xwOBA edge is the largest positive regression signal on the board. His .221 BABIP will normalize hard, and his xwOBA (0.403) is top-decile. Lock him in as a 3B core.

SummarySkim

Top conviction HOLD: Luke Raley — xwOBA (0.390) exceeds wOBA by 48 points with elite 23.1% Barrel% and 55.4% HH%; power mirage at .217 BA will rebound hard.

Top conviction AVOID: Mickey Moniak (70% owned) — xwOBA (0.329) lags wOBA (0.402) by 73 points; his 4 HR surge is short-term variance, not talent. Sell before regression.