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The Adds Sheet — 5/14: Garrett spot start, Lile rhythm, Raley could break out in RF

Top conviction HOLD: Luke Raley (16% owned) — elite xwOBA (0.390) trails wOBA by 48 points, signaling positive regression in a primary RF role with legitimate power upside. Top conviction AVOID: Mickey Moniak (70% owned) — opposite problem: xwOBA (0.329) lags wOBA (0.402) by 73 points, suggesting his HR surge (.309 BA / 4 HR in 11 games) is unsustainable despite the ownership spike.