Fantasy Baseball Trends · Buy-Low, Sell-High, Hot & Cold
Props Lab
Model-implied outcome probabilities for tonight’s slate — batter-vs-pitcher hand-blended matchup rates, park-adjusted. Analytics, not betting advice.
Engine: generalized log5 of batter × pitcher outcome rates vs league, using hand-specific splits where the sample supports them, with a park HR tilt. K distributions are binomial over expected batters faced vs the posted (or projected) lineup. Built from ~110k real plate appearances — deterministic, refreshed with the day’s lineups. Informational only.