RoS Ranks

← Projections · Rest-of-season fantasy value, by week. Each row shows the rank delta vs the prior week. 5x5 / 6x6.

How the projections workclick to expand

TL;DR — rest-of-season projections are a live Bayesian blend that mixes prior-year stats, current-season totals, and recent rolling windows (L7 / L14), then multiplied by a context-aware playing-time projection. Not a static off-the-shelf system.

Ranking math

5x5: R · HR · RBI · SB · AVG (hitters) · W · SV · K · ERA · WHIP (pitchers)

6x6 adds: OBP (hitters) · QS (pitchers)

Each player gets a z-score per category against the qualifying pool (≥100 PA hitters · ≥20 IP pitchers). ERA / WHIP get inverse z-scores (lower is better). The composite total_z sums across categories; hitters and pitchers rank together.

Week vs Month

Same projection engine, two snapshot cadences. Week is stamped each Monday (delta vs last Monday — the active drop/add/trade signal); Month is stamped the 1st (delta vs last month — the slower trend). Pick whichever horizon you manage on.

Source code

backend/app/services/projections.py → compute_ros_batting_projections / compute_ros_pitching_projections

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